EUR/GBP – Will the Pound Continue to Decouple from the Euro?

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by Marcus Klebe
10:46, 2025/03/27

EUR/GBP – Will the Pound Continue to Decouple from the Euro?

For years, the support zone around 0.8200 has proven to be nearly impenetrable. However, a breakout scenario is becoming increasingly realistic—especially if the new U.S. tariffs hit the EU harder than the UK.

If the UK manages to negotiate more favorable trade agreements with the U.S. than the EU, this could further strengthen the British pound. From a technical perspective, a sustained break below 0.8200 would be particularly significant and could pave the way toward 0.8000 or lower, as a considerable amount of sell-side liquidity is likely positioned below this level.

However, as long as 0.8200 holds, it remains a strong support zone that could attract buyers.

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