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NZD/CAD climbed higher today, breaking above the 0.8905 territory, which acted as a temporary ceiling for the rate between October 27th and November 1st. This is also the upper bound of the range that contained the price action from October 19th until today, and thus, its break may have turned the short-term outlook back to positive.
We believe that the break above 0.8905 may have opened the way towards the peak of September 23rd, at 0.8975, but if the bulls get there and show no willingness to give up, a break higher may allow a test at the round figure of 0.9000, or even at the peak of September 20th, at 0.9035.
Shifting attention to our short-term oscillators, we see that the RSI is climbing higher and is now slightly below its 70 line, still pointing up, while the MACD lies above both its zero and trigger lines, pointing up as well. Both indicators detect upside speed and corroborate our view for further advances in this exchange rate.
In order to start examining the bearish case, we would like to see the rate falling all the way back below the lower end of the aforementioned range, at 0.8800. This will confirm a forthcoming lower low on the 4-hour chart and may trigger declines towards the low of October 18th, at 0.8740. If the bears are not willing to stop there, then a break lower could target the 0.8690, or 0.8680 barriers, marked by the low of October 15th and the inside swing high of October 12th, respectively.
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