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Can The iShares MSCI Brazil Index Overcome The 30.00 Mark? | Technical Analysis
The technical picture of the iShares MSCI Brazil Index (NYSEARCA: EWZ) on our 4-hour chart shows that from the beginning of this week, the price has been drifting mainly to the upside. That said, the uprise got halted yesterday near the psychological 30.00 mark. In order to continue aiming higher, we would prefer to wait for a break above that mark first, hence our cautiously-bullish approach for now.
If, eventually, the psychological 30.00 barrier surrenders to the bulls, the EWZ might continue with its journey north. The index may then aim for the 30.40 obstacle, a break of which could clear the way to the 30.97 zone, marked by the high of September 18th, where the price might stall for a bit. It may even correct slightly lower, however, if the index stays somewhere above that key 30.00 hurdle, the buyers could step in again and drive EWZ higher. A strong move through the previously mentioned 30.97 area may help the bulls to lift the price to the 31.42 level, marked by the high of September 16th.
The RSI is currently a bit flat but remains above 50. The MACD is comfortably sitting above zero and its trigger line, while continuing to point higher. So far, the two oscillators are showing positive price momentum, which supports the upside scenario.
Alternatively, a move back down and a drop below the 29.22 hurdle, marked by the low of November 5th, could temporarily spook the bulls from the field and allow more bears to join in. That move may also place the index below the 200 EMA, which could also be seen as a bearish indication. If more sellers join in, this might bring EWZ to the high of November 4th, at 28.63, a break of which may open the door for a move to the 27.88 area. That area is marked by the high of November 3rd.
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